NMD Modelling for ALM & Planning (Recording + Excel Model + documentation)
Welcome to a deep dive into NMD modeling. We explore maturity profiles, liquidity behavior, and risk planning using hands-on Excel exercises and real case studies.
Target group
ALM/Treasury Managers and Professionals: Individuals responsible for managing a bank’s funding, liquidity, and balance sheet optimization.
Risk Managers: Professionals focused on ensuring compliance with regulatory frameworks and managing financial risks through effective FTP strategies.
Financial Analysts and Controllers: Analysts and controllers who need to understand the impact of FTP on profitability and financial decision-making.
Bank Executives and Strategists: Senior bank officers involved in strategic planning and decision-making who need to grasp FTP's role in shaping financial policies and strategies.
NMD Modelling for ALM and Planning
Introduction & Objectives
Why it matters: NMD assumptions drive ALM risk and planning results.
What we build: behavioral maturity + repricing profiles (replication portfolios).
Practical output: Maturities set → liquidity premium + IR sensitivity set → product FTP assigned
Validation on real-bank use cases with QuantPlan system.
NMD modelling foundations (what we model and why)
Core vs non-core intuition (stickiness = stable balances; volatility = balances that move/leave quickly)
Separating two dimensions: (1) volume behavior (how long money stays); (2) repricing behavior (how customer rates react to market moves / higher funding costs)
Model risks: maturities too long, repricing assumptions wrong, unstable results across samples, and weak performance under stress (outflows + faster repricing)
Hands-on in Excel: Liquidity / Maturity modelling (Liquidity risk)
Required inputs & data sanity checks (history length, granularity, outliers)
Updating curves + interpreting historical volume behavior
Choosing confidence interval, mapping/modelling horizon
Building the maturity replication portfolio (with realism constraints)
Reading and explaining results (summary + interpretation)
Hands-on in Excel: Interest-rate commitment / Repricing (IR risk)
Data requirements: historical customer rates and the corresponding FTP/reference rates are needed to calibrate margin stability
IR commitment: how behavioral repricing drives stable profitability (margin stability)
Selecting an optimization approach to minimize margin volatility (practical comparisons)
Building the interest rate replication portfolio
Critical consistency check: IR profile must not exceed LQ profile maturity
QuantPlan ALM Practical Lab: Real-bank NMD modelling
Scenario simulation of an NMD product: comparison of three practical modelling views (attrition/run-off, average balance, core/non-core split) and step-by-step setup of a multi-factor approach in the planning tool.
Planning view: scenario impacts on interest expense / margin and NII, incl. interest-rate moves, non-core outflows, and selected macro/micro drivers.
Advanced use case: translating the multi-factor setup into clear planning inputs/outputs (Excel in/out) and interpreting the behavioral results consistently.
Conclusion / governance: what to document — assumptions → calibration → outputs → planning interpretation (governance-ready).
Final Takeaways and Q&A
Downloads
Webinar Presentation
Webinar Agenda
NMD Modelling for ALM nad Planning (Part 1) - Webinar Recording
NMD Modelling for ALM nad Planning (Part 2) - Webinar Recording
ALM_IRLQ Excel Model (Description)
FREE PREVIEWALM_IRLQ Model - NMD/NMA modelling (Download)
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